February 2016

Climate Model Series (Part 3 of 5)— The “Wicked” Problems of the West, and Why We Need to Link Environmental Models

By Liz Allen Last month I wrote about “top down” (system dynamics) and “bottom up” (process based) modeling approaches. The key take-away there was that modelers’ decisions about how to represent a system depend on: 1) the scope and framing of the issues being investigated, 2) availability of data and 3) intended audience. For example, […]

Early 2015 drought loss numbers are coming in – Where is my crystal ball?

By Sonia A. Hall There is little doubt that last year’s high temperatures and water scarcity—because of the warm, low-snowpack winter—had a significant economic impact on Pacific Northwest agriculture. A Washington Department of Agriculture (WSDA) preliminary report places losses at approximately $325 million statewide, based on an initial estimate. These numbers will change as better […]

Mapping Northwest Forest Vulnerability to Climate Change

By CIRCulator Editorial Staff Reprinted from: The Climate CIRCulator LAST YEAR DROUGHT killed some 12 million trees in California’s national forests, according to the U.S. Forest Service, while in Oregon and Washington over 1.6 million acres were affected by wildfires, according to Northwest Interagency Coordination Center. But what if managers had known beforehand which regions […]